TRAIN has little effect on prices of goods
Officials of the National Economic and Development Authority, Department of Finance (DOF), Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP), and the country’s leading economists attending the meeting of the Senate Committee on Economic Affairs, led by Senator Win Gatchalian, were in consensus that several factors have pushed inflation up in January, and the tax reform that has recently taken effect has little to do with it.
Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Ernesto M. Pernia noted that based on the agency’s calculations, only 0.7 percent (at most) of inflation for 2018 is attributable to the effects of the Tax Reform for Acceleration and Inclusion (TRAIN) law.
At the Senate hearing, the DOF said among these factors are the increase in the prices of crude oil in the international market and the drop in the exchange rate. NEDA, on the other hand, took note of the rise in the price of rice which accounts for around 23 percent of the poor consumers’ basket.
“We have to closely monitor the buffer system of rice to ensure that there is no considerable spike in the price of rice,” Pernia said.
NEDA Undersecretary for Policy and Planning Rosemarie G. Edillon also attributed the increase in the prices of food commodities such as corn and meat to typhoons that hit the country in December last year.
“Part of the reason for the recent inflation is expectations that the tax reform would indeed increase prices. These inflationary expectations can be tempered by further increasing the supply of goods and services. This can be done by encouraging more investments or for existing firms to expand production. For these, the second round of tax reform, or TRAIN 2, is critical. This should be accompanied by the passage of the ease of doing business bill,” Edillon said.
“It is also possible that certain merchants have taken advantage of the situation by raising the prices of their goods prematurely. It is so easy to point a finger at TRAIN,” Pernia pointed out.